Betting on Politics: Predictit is NOT Dead

Too soon to start putting bets on the 2024 nominees?
Nikki Haley still seems like a sane choice to me … relatively speaking

Lol she will poll at 2% and Donnie will hilariously dunk on her, the end. Trump is 95%+ to be the nominee and the only way he isn’t is death.

Ugh I suppose you could be right but I really have a hard time seeing Trump being the nominee again, but then again I’ve thought all that before and was wrong so why not again…

Haley way overpriced at .07. Desantis seems like the best bet.

The answer is obviously whoever owns the libs the most. That’s Donnie Dumb Dumb if he wants it, if not yeah it’s going to be someone like Desantis (indisputable elite track record of policy failure and smugness) or a pure uncut culture wars moron like the stupid crossfit lady whose name I can’t even remember.

There is no way the MAGA base is voting for an Indian woman. It’s not happening.

People have grown bored with Trump and god knows what his health is going to be like in 2024. I’m shorting him and backing the truck on Desantis. The guy is so obviously in tune with whatever kulturkampf of the day that’s pissing off the libs, he seems like the favorite to me.

image

if trump runs he easily cruises to the nomination so you’re just betting he’s not running, which you can get multiple bets down on that through various other markets.

There are no desantis 2024 flags, there are trump ones.

You are right, but I also think thinks have “evolved” to the point that big flags that say TRUMP are more a declaration for white supremacy ethnofascism than any particular candidate. Donnie Dumb Dumb obviously wins the nom easily and if he doesn’t run and endorses someone else then that person wins easily. But more deplorables are endorsing a set of beliefs with the Trump brand.

Nikki Haley might be a candidate for the “let’s pretend we’re voting for a minority” two-step GOP voters traditionally do. Last time it was Carson and Cain. Zero chance for the nomination.

Haley ditched everyone who ever helped her and has no morals or values at all–she’s more republican than bush or trump. She isn’t bombastic and that isn’t gonna work in this era though since also it’s gonna be hard for her to pull off the white supremacist vote.

The Republican base passionately hates Haley. Her politics aren’t deplorable enough and she doesn’t do the shuck-and-jive stuff that guys like Cain and Carson did.

If he’s breathing, trump is the nominee. Hell it wouldn’t surprise me if the qtards try to make him the nominee if he’s dead.

I just have a block about Trump being the nominee. Feels like my brain is still somewhere in … holy shit 2015. SIX YEARS AGO?

Months out from the 2020 election I was loaded up on NO TRUMP and a bunch of Dem bets, but couldn’t handle the stress and cashed it all out for some small loss. … I guess I’m in the same place, convinced it can’t be him again despite all evidence to the contrary…

The probability that this person is nominated by Republicans is 0%.

Yeah they blew through their “see we aren’t racist” phase with astonishing speed. Lol Bobby Jindal.

Jindal really tried to cash in on that, and kind of did, but his main problem is that he is came off as kind of an idiot

Haley doesn’t really have that problem. But Indian woman is a much bigger disadvantage than Indian man. Haley also seems to have a shred more dignity and self-respect than Jindal. But it’s kind of a rounding error given all of the other more important factors.

There is nothing deplorables are better at than smelling out authentic vs. fake stupidity. These half-deplorable types like Nikki Haley, JD Vance, Nancy Mace and the like are going absolutely nowhere.

Chiefsplanet hates Haley almost as much as they hate Hillary. It’s impressive.