Betting on Politics: Predictit is NOT Dead

Bovada has swong from Rs +125 - 170 to -130 - 220

Picked up a 1000 shares of republican. Fingers crossed I lose!

I’m a little upset my net went to shit for an hour for all that money I missed out on.

I did have an opportunity to max dems and decided to wait. my own fault

MAGA Cabinet are still red for me for god knows why. Lol MAGA. Is anyone gonna try and buy penny stock GOP GA bins and try to flip cuz of MAGA?

Dem clean sweep should have some maga bucks equity if they dont close it quickly.

Idk all this stuff is looking like 90c dollar bills right now but ill probably restrain myself

https://twitter.com/liberty_koltist/status/1346713200109170688
https://twitter.com/peterhurford/status/1346683928149688321

mea culpa. You were right sir, and I was happily wrong.

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rules warning on PI if you’ve noticed the house/senate market that should be over, actually isn’t, it’s the deadline of the 21st that’s causing the problem

fwiw, I dont’ see it as it’s a safe margin but who knows, they could try to delay I guess or raff takes the full time to certify. Guess the latter is the reason it could flip.

Green arrows are back on the menu for me. MAGA losing hope. SAD!

The turnout market is currently the one I’m doing worst on. I thought it was the lock of locks but its trading at 95c now. Volume seems low though. PredictIt

I’m not in that market but it won’t resolve soon, people selling out to put money elsewhere, if it’s close to the border of a margin it’s not a lock. (the reported numbers out there were slightly off four years ago the official report)

cabinet markets getting killed, sad times

The final tally was like 158.5milly and the margin is 157 to 160, felt super safe unless they burn over a million ballots. I guess people selling out to get in other free money makes sense.

that’s safe then yeah, but if it doesn’t resolve soonish, it’s not worth keeping it there. I don’t think it is.

So, uh… anyone think we might see some reconsidered objections? :smiley:

Yea I already sold all my 6 objections and bought a bunch of 1 objections.

Just got Trump at +100500

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Any senator daring to sign his name now is going to take some serious heat.

You can get pretty good prices on “1 objection” by betting “no” on the senators that didn’t object to Arizona. With those you also have the added out of future objections not including those senators.

Edit: prices are all over the place right now, there’s got to be some solid arbitrage opportunities

I’m seeing conflicting info, how many actually signed the AZ objection?