2024 Election POST MORTEM

I think his point was you should be piling money into Harris winning Georgia.

Georgia 12c on predictit :harold:

That’s super tempting but I don’t want to put money on there.

Man, I’d be sick to my stomach if I believed all the hopium in here the last few week.

I guess I’m still sick, but less so.

I’m still sticking with 270-268 → NE changes rules → SC uphold —> House votes Trump, and he wins. Just about the most painful way to lose. Probably too early for “it’s happening”, but it’s happening.

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even if it is NC will conquer it by Febraury.

Ridiculous, buy buy buy.

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Yes this

The fact that it’s a toss-up means that democracy is fucked anyways.

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Watching this Kornacki cam he spends the whole night hunched over. That’s gotta be painful.

I’m seeing nothing but huge splotches of red on the CNN map.

Absolutely insane. Nothing about this suggests 8-1 dog.

The early vote in Georgia was supposed to trend red according to the voter database!

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https://x.com/tristansnell/status/1853967375244357859?s=46&t=hUTQWHj9NQWf8Y8RgMv1TA

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https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1853973427595448403

Spoiler alert: It’s all Florida.

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Lisa Blunt Rochester is a fucking metal name

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This blue shift was expected, Harris needed to go close to winning it. 2% loss isn’t terrible but isn’t good either.

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If I had money on any of these sites, I’d be hammering Georgia right now.

And probably texas also to some extent. Trump appears to be running ahead of 2020 there as well.

She’s looking okayish early on in Penn and that was arguably her worst of the rust belt states so its far from over.

Polymarket has the election and the pop vote within 2% at this very second

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https://x.com/cbouzy/status/1853973469756834014?s=46&t=hUTQWHj9NQWf8Y8RgMv1TA

gonna be a long night

https://x.com/ppollingnumbers/status/1853974339063792040?s=46&t=hUTQWHj9NQWf8Y8RgMv1TA

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