2024 Election POST MORTEM

Let me help you out here.

I’m gonna assume he’s male also.

Putting all of that together, I think we know what he means.

deplorables have all moved to texas and fl over the last 5 years, ignore both states imo

were running out of states to ignore

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Interrupting map man to change “too early” to “too close” is idiotic

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I’ve been hanging out at the corner across the street from the convention center. This is depressing. I don’t know how people like The Good Liars can stand it.

Eyeballing big GA counties right now, there isn’t much bad to say about it. Hall (big latino county and trumpy exurb) shifting 2 points to Trump is the worst I can find. White suburbs basically a repeat of 2020. High turnout everywhere. But highest in majority Black counties.

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The FiveThirtyEight benchmark result here is D+12 though. I don’t know why this is.

most people are not in tax brackets where this makes a meaningful difference enough to uproot to a shithole like florida

Vibes are improving

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Very mixed bag overall so far. Sucks it’s going to come down to nail biting the rust belt again most likely. I still think Kamala wins.

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I don’t have cable so I’m stuck with safety map guy on NBC. Crazy that they don’t put Kornacki on the network.

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Benchmark to carry Virginia or to carry national?

Is that the gin talking or do you want to share :coffee:

Seems like yes it’s just gonna come down to blue wall again but still feeling ok

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I don’t understand how we can have record turnout everywhere and Harris doing badly. Aren’t those suppose to be highly positively correlated?

Oh I get how it works. Yeah, to carry state.

https://x.com/samshirazim/status/1853966275841593600?s=46

But they BELIEVE that. Why do so many brokeass folk vote Republcan? It’s not what’s true, it’s the feels.

Well Michigan has a pretty sizable Muslim pop also. Not sure why we don’t extrapolate to other states.

Brown still beating Harris by 4.8 in Ohio. I can’t imagine that’s enough.