2024 Election POST MORTEM

[Yuv]

what would be meaningful 7pm news? I assume Georgia would be too close to call.

[Europa]

Thanks from another European about to fall asleep, will hang around a bit, then.

[WichitaDM]

Just the first results in states that aren’t going to be blowouts. (Florida, Georgia, Virginia)

[Ikioi]

My father reports that he’s never seen a local voter turnout like this year and has been voting since the early 70s. Stood in line for 1.5 hrs.

However, he lives in what is most likely THE most liberal pocket in the state of Ohio.

[Yuv]

yeah i mean i know what will be shown at 7 pm. im genuinely asking what results are we realistically looking for to have an impact on vibes.

[Koss]

If Harris has good margins in Indiana that’s a good sign mi/wi/pa will fall in line.

[Ikioi]

You guys go to sleep. I’ll be awake here monitoring and will let you know who won.

[WichitaDM]

Trump underperforming 2020 is what I’m looking for. Kamala hanging in there in Florida (she won’t win obviously) is probably the first thing I’m interested to see.

[CanadaMatt3004]

Thqts what the early IN resukts are showing. Dems +4 right now over 2020

[Yuv]

dude if youre that drunk in sacramento already its gonna be a long night

[ChrisV]

Don’t do this for Florida, it will cause you anxiety. FWIW if results out of Florida are terrible and Kamala sinks on the betting markets, I am going to buy in then. I currently don’t hold any overall election-outcome bets

[CanadaMatt3004]

Not drunk, fat

[JordanIB]

@ChrisV

Kenton County, KY: Located in max north Kentucky, in the Cincinnati burbs, this is a much Trumpier county (he carried it by 19.3 points in 2020) but again, movement to Kamala could indicate softness with the sort of suburban voters who might not be especially keen on Trump.

I’m looking for any actual data at this point. With 43% in, Trump leads here by 18.6, so pretty much in line with 2020. Don’t see any results yet from the other counties in this post.

[CanadaMatt3004]

Hamilton county dem +8 with 65% in (over 2020)

[hemstock]

Hamilton IN
2016: R +19.3
2020: R +7
2024 D +1.2 (65% in 112k votes)

[WichitaDM]

Last time I was blacked out and passed out by like 10pm and missed Trump’s whole victory speech moment. Needless to say I don’t regret that decision lol.

[ChrisV]

@ChrisV

Hamilton County, IN: Located north of Indianapolis, narrowly held by Trump in 2020 with 52%, it’s a NeverTrumper type of area; they had a kind of insane 34% primary vote for Nikki Haley here. Gaining ground here might be a sign that Kamala is picking up some of the fabled suburban Trump-skeptic center-right voters.

With 65% in Kamala is currently carrying this by 1.2 points, so that’s good.

[CanadaMatt3004]

Wapo over NYT seems to be the play right now

[WichitaDM]

Barack ruining the vibes saying we won’t know tonight.

Cmon man

[Fabian2]

@MimosaDef

here and spe

but I’m up late in Europe and desperately (and stupidly) looking for indications before (hopefully) passing out soon.

Here the vibes don’t seem to have shifted much?