2024 Election POST MORTEM

Just went for a walk around the convention center and the adjoining hotel. Not a ton of stuff going on yet, but I did see this car driving outside the hotel. It’s hard to tell, but the flag says “Fuck Trump”

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https://twitter.com/RalstonReports/status/1853911156026753313

Man, maybe the Dems are going to do it. High turnout seems to be the story of the night everywhere. The polls are definitely going to be wrong because their turnout screens will be cooked.

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No labels. I can’t tell what’s going on.

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Lol if you didn’t think people like this existed.

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Yes. Even though mine was already cured, I received something from Clark County and then another from the Democratic National Committee telling me my signature had been rejected, plus the email I received telling me it was rejected. NV is not a bad voting state.

https://x.com/lxeagle17/status/1853913674102259828?s=46

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That’s not how the ocean works.

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The vibes feel good, but I am a believer in markets and I really really really want to see some movement in the betting prices.

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This is not true, as I was sent two pieces of mail to my voting address saying the same thing. It’s just on a lag and I received both yesterday. If they have an address they’ll get a notification based on what happened with me.

Wasn’t the market totally wrong in the early going in 2020?

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yes

Lol check out the video in the politics betting thread if you want to see some hilarious insight the brains pricing the betting markets.

Independent vote almost always breaks Democratic except in special circumstances (Sisolak). The problem is no one knows how many Republicans have moved in.

Are you talking about Republican voters kicking him out? Cause I think they will just keep electing him until he croaks no matter what.

I saw the video, but it didn’t shake my faith. I appreciate that markets were super goofy in the past and shouldn’t be viewed as terribly predictive. BUT I’ll feel a whole lot better if her price starts moving up.

Not really open to being logiced out of this feeling.

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Are there any reasons for the markets to move much yet? They need more actual data, no?

Holy shit that video is incredible. Dude is going to lose so much money unskewing the polls

Any predictions for what time Trump claims that he has won the election.

I’ve read it on here or 2p2 or whatever enough times that I’ve kinda come to accept it, but yeah it truly is the most fucked up thing. Insane stuff.