2022 Midterm Elections (Abandon hope all ye who enter here) butnahhh. or maybe?

STOP POSTING NEEDLE OR AT LEAST PUT IT IN SPOILERS

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CO Senate called blue

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Well I did vote straight dem this time in my area which I don’t think i’ve ever done before because I’m not a super lefty. So whatever that means to the odds who the fuck knows.

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It’s worse because they assume LA had a dem

If you go down to the % over time you can see the jump where they fixed it

Current Needle is 51/49 with them projecting GA for (R) and NV as a true toss-up right now.

I think you guys are getting reverse 2020ed. Lots of the early vote is in (which favors dems), lost of the city votes seem to be in (which favors dems). Maybe I’m wrong but i still think oz and walker win.

Looking like GA will be the ballgame again on a runoff

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Real vote of confidence in the model when they don’t even know the parties of incumbents

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Exactly yup

Oklahoma called for Stitt, not even close.

So it appears Fetterman is outperforming Biden in rural counties, limiting Oz’s margins.

https://twitter.com/blockedfreq/status/1590172168285204482

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Where can I get county level data on KY abortion measure? Secretary of State’s site is like hours behind.

Democracy Now saying Kemp likely in GA and Vance likely in Ohio. I don’t think it’s an official call, idk if they do that. Saying Warnock too close to call right now.

Thank you for your service!

Is this more up to date?

Do I look like the kind of person that pays $8?

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https://twitter.com/JamesSurowiecki/status/1590160352373002240

It’s behind by a lot but better than SoS, thanks.

Wooooooo