2020 Senate + House Races

I mean, this Booker guy doesn’t fly fighter planes at all, I don’t know why the people should vote for him.

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She definitely doesn’t favor abolishment.

She seems to favor demilitarization, the good old compromise position.

Oh I understand that. I meant more along the lines of that she doesn’t think politicians and people who don’t agree with “defund/abolish the police” should be telling the activists to fix their messaging.

primary KY senate up on PI just now.

Broihier 1c shares are hot.

Bowman is the primary challenger I donated to earlier this month. :muscle:

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After talking to my friend at Cook political, here is where I’d currently rate the races:

D defending:
Alabama: lost cause
Michigan: lean D

R defending:
Great chance to take:
AZ: lean, almost likely D
CO: lean D
ME: lean D (slightly less so)
NC: Tossup
MT: tossup (slightly lean R)

In play:
IA: lean R
GA: lean R
GA: lean R
KA: lean/likely R
AK: lean/likely R

Threatening:
KY, SC, TX

A blue wave delivering the Senate to the Dems is looking likely at this point

Edit: MT not MO, fixed, thx

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That said don’t expect much out of a slim D lead. Lots of those running are blue dog centrist/conservative Dems. Main advantage is ending McConnell obstruction

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Thx—Montana is MT, Missouri is MO

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I think most likely outcome of the above:

D defending:
Alabama: R
Michigan: D

R defending:
AZ: D
CO: D
ME: R
NC: D
MT: R

rest R

This would net Dems +2, so they are one short. Not buying Collins is going to lose.

If we get democracy reform through, and some milquetoast reforms on other issues, that would be a hugely successful Congress for everyone on the left. I say that in part because a milquetoast reform on healthcare, on criminal justice, etc, is a huge step in the right direction.

It’s going to be a close race, but Gideon has polled ahead of her in three in a row, +1, +4, +9. But the +9 was a partisan poll.

I’ve got Maine and Montana both going to the Dems

I don’t know who this is. Is this a Bro we should get behind?

Figured this was coming after our discussion earlier this week. Alaska isn’t safe R anymore

LOL DNC. Absolutely no one wants any part of a McGrath campaign

https://twitter.com/janemayernyer/status/1271413233971232768?s=21

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Yeah but he seems pretty legit, he has a decent looking website** and he supports a public option.

** Except for his lack of a thumbnail populating in the preview.

https://twitter.com/AmyMcGrathKY/status/1271465886780661760?s=20

He’s an independent that caucuses with Dems like a Bernie Sanders type

She’s shook if she’s being that aggressively negative over some bullshit (BS relative to the overall campaign, obviously taking good care of staffers is important).

I wouldn’t go that far, he’s nowhere near that progressive.