Fair, I’m tired.
2 Likes
Ok good.
This seems definitely true of Georgia anyway. THey ahven’t updated in hours but allegedly have been actively counting all day.
I get it. I’ll have to look back to last night, but at some point I realized the denominator had to be wrong, found the right one (for places like Philly) on the SoS websites, and started realizing this was going to be close.
So the info has been out there since yesterday, when the Nates and Wassermans were all saying, boy, Biden on track to win by 100K plus, maybe 3-4%!
Well yeah. Propaganda networks aren’t supposed to help the opponent.
Ok, I’ll do you all a favor. I’m going for a walk. LOL.
1 Like
-
Look at the counties more deeply, plenty of Trumpy counties have 4K or more outstanding.
-
Maybe don’t “for the millionth time” me, I’ve been dead on with this shit the entire time, you’re doomcasting.
2 Likes
F***ing banana republic.
2 Likes
Come back in 24 hours
1 Like
We have 24 hours left for ballots to arrive, and we don’t know if anything arriving after 11/6 at 8pm is included in the current totals. The 100K-200K margin the PA Dems predicted almost certainly includes the 11/3 to 11/6 sample. I think 75-150 is more realistic.
Trump winning all three states he needs by razor thin margins is like the most Trump outcome imaginable, but I still think he loses 2/3 and quite likely all three.
2 Likes
Yeah, I will note that the Nates and Wasserman have been strangely silent about reversing their prognostications based upon a false denominator.
Sorry, wasn’t trying to come across as patronizing. I just have been seeing numbers that worry me a bit.
Wish I had your confidence - hoping like hell we bring it home and it’s not a GA-style sweat of a few thousand.
2 Likes
CNN just said PA SOS will share more info this hour
GA down to +9.5k Trump
2 Likes
How dare Fox throw up a tiny roadblock (early AZ call) to their tinpot dictator scheme to steal the election!!!
Trump knows his propaganda to STOP THE COUNT would be much more effective if AZ wasn’t called against him.
2 Likes
We have a Georgia update. Trump’s lead down to 9,500ish. No idea how much outstanding.
2 Likes
I think you are vastly overestimating how many ballots are arriving between 11/4 and 11/6. One of the reasons everyone’s been laughing at Trump’s stupid lawsuit over them is because everyone thought it was unlikely to affect the outcome of the race (because, you know, it looked like Biden was going to win 100-200k without them). I think the sense was we might be talking about mabye 10 thousand ballots or so, not hundreds of thousands.
